Bloomberg now clear second favourite in USA Presidential Election 2020 Betting Market
An election year, during which people who ought to really know better, waste days of their lives wading around in the
quagmire that is the gap that exists between the polls and reality.
The implied probability on Betfair that Donald Trump will win the Presidential Election in 2020 is currently 60%.
As regards Sanders' chances Nate Silver took to Twitter on 27 January 2020 to say: "It is indeed strange. I've had a few conversations with Wall Street types recently where they don't seem to realize that Bernie is in a highly viable position and/or they think Bloomberg will magically emerge despite not really being able to explain how."
The problem for Silver, who famously allowed himself to
become a punter and got Trump wrong is that the betting market is now starting to favour Bloomberg over Sanders. Indeed, the betting market is effectively saying that Biden is dead in the water.
It is not that impressed by the Buttigieg bounce either.
Nate Silver needs to learn to stop playing punter.