Niall O'Connor

Probability over Prediction.
London, UK/
2017

Niall O'Connor is a Risk Market Analyst. He has worked as a Management Consultant and served time in the television industry, rising to the hallowed (sic) rank of Executive. He has also acted in an advisory capacity to both private equity companies and hedge funds, focusing in the main, on the impact that the internet has had, and is having, upon industry structure in the the gambling, brewing and television industries. Between 2008 and 2016 he headed the Okonomia project, a movement with the stated aim of decentralising economic intelligence. Niall O'Connor is currently involved with the not a but also not not -a project, which is looking at the extent and degree to which AI driven smart services will disrupt traditional industry models. He is also involved in a number of projects examining the potential impact of both AI smart devices and the blockchain upon financial and betting markets. Any and all works written by Niall O'Connor that appear on this website remain the copyright of the author and are herewith published under licence.

"When betting markets get it wrong." On the folly of the crowd.

"Super Forecasters: Super Excuses. On The Art Of Being Less Wrong." Lessons from the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

"How Bernie Sanders won the election for Donald Trump." Like it or not, many Sanders' supporters stayed away from the polling booths..

"A Short History of the Betting Exchange Industry." How Betfair lost the plot.

"European Gambling Law From Schindler to Engelmann." - An analysis of European gambling law.

"The United States' War against Online Gambling" - An analysis of US online gambling law.

"Betsham." - The story of Betfair's illfated share flotation.

"The myth of European betting market liberalisation."

"On the taxation of betting exchanges."

"Sweden and gambling industry deregulation - The road to nowhere".

Crack baby crack: the rise, and rise of fixed odds betting terminals.

On the long, hard and fruitless battle to monetise sports betting content.

How the UK's Labour Party gambled on casinos and lost.

How the Internet killed off Telephone betting.

William Hill vs. Ladbrokes: GW/EBIT Comparative Analysis 2003 - 2012..

Betting Exchange model fails to clear regulatory hurdles.

Totalisators - Institutional rigidity hinders development of decentralised betting hub.

Niall O'Connor - A Selection of the Key Horse Racing Essays.

PRESS: Guardian.

Cited in over two hundred and fifty government and academic papers,exempli gratia;

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Gambling. (Oxford University Press).

The International Study of Gambling Jurisdiction.

The use of economic theory to minimize risk in the sports betting market.

European Commission: "Study on the funding of grassroots sports in the EU.

Is it Time to Reconsider UK Gambling Policy.

On the Road to Permissiveness?: Change and Convergence of Moral Regulation in Europe, July 2015.

Law and the Technologies of the Twenty-First Century: Text and Materials.

THE EUROPEAN UNION, STATE-SPONSORED GAMBLING, AND PRIVATE GAMBLING SERVICES: TIME FOR HARMONIZATION.

Specification and Performance Optimisation of Real-time Trading Strategies for Betting Exchange Platforms.

Photo Credit: Marianne O'Connor