Next Labour Leader Betting Market
In betting on who will be the next Labour leader, the implied probability that Jeremy Corbyn will be the Next Labour Leader is now 70%. The Betfair betting exchange punter that had £10 matched on Jeremy Corbyn at odds of 699/1 is smiling for now. It should be noted that unless you are a memember of one of the campaign teams, that from this point onwards, there will be people trading in this betting market, who will be better informed than you are. The Corbyn camp, for example, are canvassing their followers and other voters in this election as to their voting intentions, and will have some insight as to how their own campaign is going. For comparative purposes, this betting market will next be updated on 2 September 2015.
Next Labour Leader Implied Probability (%)
Source: Betfair and UK Bookmakers. 24/08/2015
Next U.S. President
The implied probability of Donald Trump becoming President is now 8%. The implied probability of Hilary Clinton becoming U.S. President is currently 47%, whilst that for Jeb Bush is 20%. For now, Trump remains in the game. For comparative purposes, this betting market will next be updated on 2 September 2015.
2016 U.S. Election Implied Probabilities.
Source: Bettingmarket.Com analysis. 24/08/2015.